News and Comment

Birth Rate as a hostage in the hands of man-made systems

News:

Xinhua News Agency reported that National People's Congress changed Chinese law and permitted Chinese families to have two children. It is stated, “State supports right of every family to have two children.” This law will become operative by January 1, 2016.

Comment:

“One family – one child” policy was adopted by Chinese leadership in 1979, when they came to the conclusion that a big population overloads agricultural, water and energy resources of the country. Such a population policy was accompanied not only with inhuman suffering of Chinese citizens since it disentitled them from a right of enjoying posterity but also was a demographic bomb with delayed action. According to UN assessment by 2050 one third of Chinese people will be older than 60, while in 2010 only 12% of population was older than this age. Aging of society already complicates social security system of China.

This experience of Chinese leadership in controlling birth-rate reminds us about similar adventure of depopulation of sparrows in China. In 1958 under pretext that sparrows destroy crop harvest in one year, more than 1.96 billion of sparrows were destroyed. As a result population of caterpillars and locusts increased in times which yield to abrupt decrease in harvest of crops. Depopulation of sparrows was one of the causes of Great Chinese Famine (1959-1961г.г.). They concluded nothing from the practice of sparrow depopulation and after 20 years decided to implement a similar experiment on their own people by adopting “One family – one child” policy for more than 35 years.

That is the reality of communism, one of man-made ideologies, that implements experiments on people for decades depriving them from their natural right of bringing up their own children. May be someone would say that such problems are inherent only in communism, but when we examine demographics in Europe and the US, we conclude that in these capitalistic states they have similar and even worse situations. Yes, in these states there is no law that limits amount of children in a family by one. But in these societies you do not need such a law since people deliberately reject from birth of children and even marriage. Total fertility rate in European countries is less than 2.1 which is necessary for simple substitution of generations. I will list total fertility rates for some capitalistic countries:

France - 2.08, USA - 2.06, Germany - 1.42, Britain - 1.90, Poland - 1.32, Italy - 1.4, Ukraine - 1.22, Netherlands - 1.78, Spain - 1.48.

In Europe the amount of able-bodied citizens will reduce by third till 2050, while economically active population will reduce by one half. If there was no international migration, this reduction would be much more.

Today for every 100 capable of working Europeans there are 25 pensioners. In 30 years this ratio will be 1:2. In 2050 under the same rate of economic activity, 100 people will provide maintenance for 75 pensioners. With such a catastrophic falling birth rates population aging is unavoidable and it will affect the uppermost native Europeans. It worse to mention that for instance birth-rate in relatively poor East Germany is higher than in the western part of the country. Studies by German scientists published in 2013 show that 15% of women and 26% of men under 40 do not want to have children. 10 years ago, it was 10% of women and 12% of men. It is understood from these figures that unwillingness to have children has nothing to do with state subsidies and economic prosperity.

Results of public opinion poll show that reproductive behavior in very small terms depends on material factors and generally related with inner reproductive values cultivated by society. So, general popularization of absolute permissiveness, consumer society, lust and depravity resulted in birth-rate decrease. Thereby, in the case of China and European countries, we have a different approach to birth-rate issue, but the result in both of them is the same. It is the birth-rate decrease, nation aging and as a result economical and political shocks that will be faced by these countries.

This is the essence of man-made systems, that are being deprived from divine guidance and doom of humanity to different experiments and adventures. Pursuit of material prosperity forces one man-made ideology to limit birth-rate by laws, while the second one cultivates societies in which marriage and upbringing of worthy posterity is considered as obstacle for gaining this material prosperity and satisfaction of instincts.

Undoubtedly, the cause of this is lack of a true view on purpose of life in capitalism and communism. Since this true view leads the sight on purpose of gender instinct which is upbringing of a strong, well brought up and educated generation which is capable of carrying out the mission that is obliged by Creator. The true view is not looking on gender instinct in the lens of sexual satisfaction or statistical data about ratio between resources and amount of country population.

In conditions when so called a developed world is deprived from the true view on gender instinct it is safe to say that it will face serious demographic, economical and political shocks which could be avoided only by establishing of Islamic State – Righteous Khilafah "Caliphate" (Caliphate) on the method of Prophethood, which will advocate idea of purpose of life and view on family values derived from it and based on a firm rational basis.

﴿وَمَنْ أَعْرَضَ عَن ذِكْرِي فَإِنَّ لَهُ مَعِيشَةً ضَنكًا وَنَحْشُرُهُ يَوْمَ الْقِيَامَةِ أَعْمَى﴾

“But whoever turns away from My Reminder, for him is a confined life. And We will raise him on the Day of Resurrection blind” [20:124].

Written for the Central Media Office of Hizb ut Tahrir by
Fadl Amzayev
Head of the Media Office of Hizb ut Tahrir in Ukraine